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Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 1/6

Grammar: Modals of Possibility

Study the rules, look at the examples, then do the exercises.

How sure are you?

Sometimes we know a fact for certain: "It is raining." But very often in real life we are not sure, and we need to say how likely something is. Is it certain? Is it just possible? Is it impossible? English uses a small group of modal verbs to show exactly how confident we are.

In this unit you will learn the modals of possibility and deduction: may, might and could (possible), must (I'm almost sure it is true), and can't (I'm almost sure it is impossible). Choosing the right one is one of the most useful speaking skills at B1.

  • She may be at home.It is possible she is at home → may / might / could.
  • He must be tired after that long trip.All the evidence says so → a strong positive conclusion.
  • That can't be true!I'm almost sure it is impossible → a strong negative conclusion.

1. The form (modal + base verb)

Modals are easy to build. After the modal, we always use the base verb (the infinitive without to). The modal never changes for the subject — there is no -s in the third person, and we never add do / does.

SubjectModalBase verbExample
I / you / we / theymay / might / couldbe, rain, knowThey might know the answer.
he / she / itmay / might / couldbe, rain, knowShe could be right.
it (deduction)must / can'tbe, meanIt must be a mistake.
Key point
  • No -s and no to: She might come. ✓ — She mights to come.
  • Make it negative on the modal: may not, might not, must not, can't — never don't may.

2. may / might / could (it is possible)

To say that something is possible now or possible in the future, we use may, might or could. In most everyday sentences the three are almost the same in meaning — each one means "perhaps".

ModalMeaningExample
mayperhaps (a little more formal)It may rain this afternoon.
mightperhaps (very common in speech)She might be at home now.
couldperhaps (one of several options)He could be right — I'm not sure.
  • I'm not sure where Deniz is. She might be in the kitchen.Present possibility.
  • Take an umbrella — it may get cold and wet later.Future possibility.

3. Degrees of certainty (certain → possible → impossible)

This is the heart of the unit. Think of a "certainty line". At one end you are sure something IS true; at the other end you are sure it is NOT true. The modal you choose shows exactly where you are on that line.

How sure?ModalExample
100% sure it is truemustShe must be exhausted.
Maybe true (about 50%)may / might / couldShe might be exhausted.
Maybe not truemay not / might notShe might not be exhausted.
100% sure it is impossiblecan'tShe can't be exhausted — she slept all day!
Golden rule
  • Strong positive conclusion → must. Strong negative conclusion → can't.
  • Only possible, not sure → may / might / could.

4. Negative possibility (may not / might not vs can't)

Be careful: there are two ways to be negative, and they mean very different things. May not / might not means "perhaps not". Can't (or couldn't) means "impossible" — much stronger.

FormMeaningExample
may not / might notit is possible that it is NOT trueHe might not come to the party. (Maybe he won't.)
can't / couldn'tit is impossible / I'm sure it is not trueHe can't be at the party — he is in Paris! (Impossible.)
Watch out
  • Do not use mustn't for a negative deduction. He can't be serious. ✓ — He mustn't be serious.(mustn't = prohibition, Unit 10)
  • might not = perhaps not; can't = definitely not. Do not mix them up.

5. Deduction from evidence (must / can't)

When we look at the evidence and reach a confident conclusion, we use must (I'm sure it is true) or can't (I'm sure it is not true). This is called deduction. Notice: can't is the negative of must here — not "mustn't".

EvidenceConclusionExample
The lights are on and I can hear music.must (positive)Someone must be at home.
It's midnight and every window is dark.can't (negative)They can't be awake now.
He hasn't eaten since morning.must (positive)He must be really hungry.
Quick test
  • Sure it IS true → must. Sure it is NOT true → can't.
  • "This must be the right house" vs "This can't be the right house."

6. Common mistakes (✗ / ✓)

These are the errors B1 students make most often with modals of possibility. Check your own sentences against this list.

Wrong ✗Right ✓Why?
It can rain later, take a coat.It might rain later, take a coat.for possibility in a statement we use may/might/could, not "can".
She mights be at school.She might be at school.no -s and no "to" after a modal.
He must to be tired.He must be tired.modal + base verb, never "to".
That mustn't be true.That can't be true.negative deduction uses can't, not mustn't.
They can be Turkish, I'm not sure.They could be Turkish, I'm not sure.uncertain guess → may/might/could.
Watch out
  • We can use "can" for possibility in a question: "Where can he be?" ✓ But in a normal statement about a specific situation, use may/might/could.

7. Putting it together (Model Dialogue)

Two friends at the school fair see a boy they do not know and try to work out who he is. Read it twice and notice how they move along the "certainty line" — from a wild guess, to a possibility, to a confident conclusion.

A:Who's that boy by the gate? He might be a friend of Ali's.A guess → possibility.
B:He could be, but I'm not sure. He may be in the new class at our school.Two more possibilities.
A:Look, he's holding a football and our team's scarf. He must be the new player!Evidence → strong positive conclusion.
B:He can't be the new player — the new player arrived earlier and he's over there.Evidence → strong negative conclusion.
A:You're right. Then he might not be from our school at all. Let's just ask him!Weak negative → possibility not.
Test yourself
  • Find a sentence with must. What evidence made A so sure? (the football and the scarf.)
  • Why does B say can't and not mustn't? (negative deduction = can't.)
  • Change "He might be a friend" into a stronger, more certain sentence. (He must be a friend.)

Exercises (Alıştırmalar)

Choose the correct answer. — 10 questions, each one is marked instantly. Questions get harder as you go.

Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 2/6

Speaking: Guessing & Speculating

Learn the words, then use them to speculate about the world around you.

possible (adj)
able to happen or be true (mümkün)
Syn: feasible · Ant: impossible
"It is possible that she is still at the park."
possibility (n)
a thing that may happen or be true (olasılık, ihtimal)
Syn: chance · Ant: certainty
"There is a possibility of rain tonight."
certain (adj)
completely sure; without any doubt (emin, kesin)
Syn: sure · Ant: unsure
"I'm not certain, but he might be French."
likely (adj)
probably going to happen or be true (muhtemel, olası)
Syn: probable · Ant: unlikely
"It is likely that they will win."
unlikely (adj)
probably not going to happen (olası değil)
Syn: improbable · Ant: likely
"It is unlikely that he is telling the truth."
perhaps (adv)
used to say something is possible (belki)
Syn: maybe · Ant: definitely
"Perhaps she forgot the party."
probably (adv)
almost certainly; very likely (muhtemelen)
Syn: most likely · Ant: unlikely
"He is probably still finishing his homework."
guess (v)
to give an answer you are not sure about (tahmin etmek)
Syn: estimate · Ant: know
"I guess she must be about ten years old."
wonder (v)
to want to know; to ask yourself (merak etmek, acaba)
Syn: ask yourself · Ant: know
"I wonder where they could be."
clue (n)
a piece of information that helps you find an answer (ipucu)
Syn: hint · Ant:
"The muddy shoes are an important clue."
evidence (n)
facts that show something is true (kanıt, delil)
Syn: proof · Ant:
"The evidence shows he must be telling the truth."
obvious (adj)
easy to see or understand; clear (apaçık, bariz)
Syn: clear · Ant: unclear
"It's obvious that she can't be lost — she knows the way."
doubt (n/v)
a feeling of not being sure (şüphe / şüphe etmek)
Syn: uncertainty · Ant: certainty
"I doubt he could finish it in time."
suspect (v)
to think something is probably true (sanmak, şüphelenmek)
Syn: suppose · Ant: be sure
"I suspect they might be late again."
? What could be inside the box? It might be a gift. It can't be heavy — look, she lifted it!
Speculating: use may, might, could for guesses, and must / can't for confident conclusions.

Production Task (Üretim Görevi)

Write 8 sentences in which you speculate about people or situations. Use at least 8 of the words above.

Grammar requirement — apply this unit's topic
  • Use may / might / could for things that are only possible (She might be at home.).
  • Use must for a strong positive conclusion and can't for a strong negative one (He must be tired. That can't be true.).
  • Write at least 2 pairs: first a possibility (may/might/could), then a confident conclusion (must / can't). (Örn: "He might be ill. Actually, he can't be ill — I saw him running.")

Sentence starters (you can begin with these):

"I wonder if ..." "It could be ..." "That must be ..." "It can't be ..., because ..." "Perhaps ..."

Değerlendirme öğretmenin tarafından yapılacak. (Your teacher will review your task.)

Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 3/6

Reading: The Empty Clubhouse

Read the text, then answer the questions.

Before You Read (Okumadan Önce)

Good readers prepare before they start. Before you read, think about these three questions (you do not need to write the answers):

  • Imagine you arrive at your clubhouse and a friend's coat and warm drink are there, but your friend is gone. Where might they be?
  • The text is a small mystery. Which modals (may, might, could, must, can't) do you expect the character to use?
  • Look at the title, "The Empty Clubhouse". Do you think this will be a serious problem or a simple explanation? Guess!
How to read
  • First read: read quickly, without stopping. Get the general idea; you do not need every word.
  • Second read: read the questions, then search the text for the answers. Notice each modal of possibility (may, might, could, must, can't).

Words to spot (from the Speaking section): possible · possibility · perhaps · certain · clue · evidence · obvious · probably · likely

?
A small mystery on a Saturday morning: read the clues and make your deductions.
The Empty Clubhouse

When Aylin arrived at the garden clubhouse on Saturday morning, something was strange. The fairy lights inside were on, but nobody was there. Her friend Berk's coat was hanging on his chair, and a cup of hot chocolate sat on the little table. However, Berk himself was nowhere to be seen.

Aylin and her friends had used the clubhouse for almost two years, so she knew it very well. On a normal Saturday, it was full of happy sounds, but this morning everything was silent. She liked to think carefully, and she did not want to worry for no reason. Perhaps someone had forgotten to switch off the lights, or perhaps a friend had arrived very early. Whatever the reason, she was sure there would be a simple explanation.

Berk was one of her best friends, and he was almost never late. In fact, he often arrived first and made hot chocolate for everyone. 'This is very odd,' Aylin thought. 'He can't be far away, because his coat and drink are still here.' She touched the cup: it was still warm. 'He must be somewhere close,' she guessed.

Aylin decided to look for clues, just like a detective in her favourite mystery books. A drawing lay half finished next to a pencil, as if Berk had stood up in a hurry. His bike was still leaning against the fence outside. Each small detail was a piece of evidence. 'If he had gone home,' she reasoned, 'he would have taken his coat and his bike.' She checked her phone, but there were no messages. 'So it can't be anything serious,' she thought.

There were several possibilities. Perhaps Berk was feeding the dog, or maybe he had gone to get some snacks. He might be talking to his mum in the house. It was also possible that he was simply out in the garden. Aylin was not certain, but she did not think anything was wrong.

One by one, she checked her ideas. The kitchen was empty, and there was nobody among the trees. Then she met Deniz, another friend, who was just arriving. 'Have you seen Berk?' Aylin asked. Deniz shook her head. 'No, but his bike is here, so he must be somewhere nearby,' she replied.

Then she noticed a clue on the table: a small note. It said, 'Back in 10 minutes.' Now the evidence was obvious. 'He can't be in trouble,' Aylin said, feeling relieved. 'He probably just went to the front gate.' She remembered what her teacher liked to say: when you hear hooves, think of horses, not zebras. In other words, the common answer is usually the correct one.

Suddenly, the door opened and Berk walked in, carrying a large box. 'Sorry!' he said. 'The parcel with our new board games arrived early, so I ran to the gate to collect it.' Aylin laughed. The mystery was solved.

Together, they opened the box and found a stack of shiny new board games. Berk grinned as he hung his coat up properly this time. 'You read too many detective stories,' he joked. Still, Aylin was quietly pleased with herself. She had stayed calm and looked at the evidence. Sometimes the simplest explanation is the likely one, and there is usually no need to worry.

A · Multiple Choice

Choose the correct answer.

B · True / False (Doğru / Yanlış)

Are these sentences true or false, according to the text?

C · Gap Fill

Complete each sentence with ONE word from the text.

1Aylin thought Berk be far away because his things were still there. Doğru cevap: can't
2Aylin was not , but she did not think anything was wrong. Doğru cevap: certain
3On the table Aylin noticed a : a small note. Doğru cevap: clue
4Aylin decided that Berk had just gone to the front gate. Doğru cevap: probably
5When Aylin touched the cup, it was still , so Berk had left only moments before. Doğru cevap: warm

D · Open-Ended

Write your answer in your own words. These questions are not marked automatically.

1. Why did Aylin decide that Berk "must be somewhere close"?

Sample Answer"His coat and hot chocolate were still there, and the drink was still warm, so she was sure he could not have gone far. All the evidence pointed to one conclusion: he must be somewhere close."

2. What possibilities did Aylin think of before she found the note?

Sample Answer"She thought that Berk might be feeding the dog, that he could have gone to get some snacks, that he might be talking to his mum in the house, or that he was simply out in the garden."

3. Why do you think Aylin felt relieved when she read the note?

Sample Answer"The note said 'Back in 10 minutes', which made the evidence obvious. She realised he can't be in trouble and had probably just stepped out for a moment, so she stopped worrying."

E · Connector Hunt (Bağlaç Avı)

Find these connectors in the text — each one appears at least once: and, but, so, because, however, or, then. (You will use these same connectors in the Writing section.) Note them down, then check.

Answers and: "...his coat was hanging on his chair, and a cup of hot chocolate sat on the little table."
but: "The fairy lights inside were on, but nobody was there."
so: "The parcel with our new board games arrived early, so I ran to the gate to collect it."
because: "He can't be far away, because his coat and drink are still here."
however: "However, Berk himself was nowhere to be seen."
or: "...he was feeding the dog, or maybe he had gone to get some snacks."
then: "Then she noticed a clue on the table."
Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 4/6

Listening: What Do You Do When...?

Todd and Sarah talk about how they react in different everyday situations.

You will hear two friends, Todd and Sarah, talking about what they do when they feel stressed, tired, bored or angry. You will listen TWICE. First listen: answer questions 1-5. Second listen: answer questions 6-10. (Kaydı İKİ kez dinleyeceksin: ilk dinlemede 1-5, ikinci dinlemede 6-10.)

Tip
  • Read the questions BEFORE the first listening — know what to listen for.
  • You do not need every word; catch the answer to each question.

1. Dinleme — Questions 1-5 (Choose the correct answer)

Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 5/6

Writing: A Mystery to Solve

Write and submit your paragraph; your teacher will review it.

Connectors turn sentences into a text (Linking Words)

A list of short, separate sentences is not real writing. What connects your ideas is linking words. At A2 you used and, but, so, because. At B1 you add more powerful connectors: also, when, while, although and however. These let you show contrast, background and extra information like a confident writer — and they work perfectly when you speculate about a mystery.

ConnectorUse it to...Example
andadd informationThe door was open, and the lights were on.
butshow a small contrastHe might be here, but I can't see him.
soshow a resultThe hot chocolate was warm, so he must be close.
becausegive a reasonIt can't be Ana because she is abroad.
alsoadd an extra pointHe may be at lunch. He could also be upstairs.
whensay at what timeWhen I arrived, the clubhouse was empty.
whiletwo things at the same timeWhile I was thinking, the phone rang.
althoughshow a strong contrastAlthough it looked strange, nothing was wrong.
howevercontrast between two sentencesIt might be serious. However, it was just a note.
Rule
  • Use at least 3 different connectors in your paragraph. Do not write sentence by sentence; link your ideas.
  • When when / while / although / however start a sentence, they are usually followed by a comma: "However, it was just a note."

Paragraph structure (Paragraph Structure)

A "mystery" paragraph has three parts. The skeleton stays the same every time — you change the content, not the structure:

PartWhat to writeExample
1. OpeningDescribe the strange situationLast week I found a mysterious box outside my door.
2. BodySpeculate: list possibilities with may/might/could, then reach conclusions with must / can't. Link with connectors.It might be a gift, but it can't be from Ali, because he is away. It must be from a neighbour.
3. ClosingSay what happened, or what you still wonderIn the end, I still don't know who sent it.

Task (Görev)

Imagine you receive a mysterious parcel with no name on it. Write about who it might be from and what could be inside. Speculate with modals of possibility.

WHAT TO INCLUDE

  • an opening that describes the mysterious situation
  • two or three possibilities (Present possibility: may / might / could)
  • at least one strong positive conclusion with must
  • at least one strong negative conclusion with can't
  • a closing sentence about what happened or what you still wonder
  • at least 3 connectors: and, but, so, because, also, when, while, although, however
  • at least 4 words from the Speaking section (possible, possibility, perhaps, likely, clue, evidence, obvious, guess)

EXAMPLE OPENERS

"Last week something strange happened ..." "I wonder who could have ..." "It might be ..., but it can't be ..."

Your Paragraph (150-180 words / kelime)

0 kelime

Değerlendirme öğretmenin tarafından yapılacak. (Your teacher will evaluate your writing.)

Sample Answer (~165 words) Last week something strange happened. When I got home, I found a small parcel outside my door, and there was no name on it. At first I had no idea who had left it, so I started to look for clues.

There were several possibilities. It might be a birthday present, because my birthday is next week. It could also be a delivery for a neighbour. Perhaps a friend had left it as a surprise. However, it can't be from my brother, because he is travelling abroad and would not know my new address.

The box was very light, so it can't be anything heavy like books. It must be something small and soft. The obvious answer, I decided, was that it was a gift, although I was still not certain.

In the end, I opened it, and I found a warm scarf with a short note. It was from my grandmother, and the evidence had been there all along.
Ünite 9 · Modals: Possibility · Bölüm 6/6

Unit Check (Ünite Kontrolü)

Mixed questions from the whole unit, then check what you can do.

Mixed Quiz (Karışık Test)

14 questions: grammar + vocabulary + reading + listening. Each question is marked instantly.

Can-Do Check (Yapabiliyorum Listesi)

Tick what you can do now. Honest answers help your teacher.

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